Thursday, October 29, 2009

Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation

Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation Kenneth R. Feinberg
Testimony before the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform

Mr. Chairman:

I thank you and the Committee for the opportunity to testify today. The subject of executive compensation continues to be a top priority of the American people and the international business community, so I welcome your invitation and look forward to participating in this hearing.

As you know, in June of this year, I was asked to serve as Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation by the Secretary of the Treasury. In that capacity, I have a number of responsibilities under the relevant statutory[1] and regulatory[2] authority. These responsibilities include interpreting the regulations, and evaluating and making determinations regarding compensation payments to, and compensation structures for, certain employees of TARP recipients receiving exceptional financial assistance.

In these capacities, I have spent the past five months carefully considering the terms and conditions of the 2009 executive compensation for senior executives at those seven corporations that received exceptional financial assistance from the federal government: AIG, Bank of America, Citigroup, Chrysler, Chrysler Financial, General Motors and GMAC. These executives include five "senior executive officers" and the twenty "most highly compensated employees." My mandatory jurisdiction under the regulations is limited to the senior executives at these seven companies and only these seven companies. Although I do have interpretive authority under the Standards, and advisory authority under the law to make recommendations and nonbinding determinations as to officials of other companies who received TARP financial assistance, I have no legal authority to make final determinations pertaining to executive compensation for any companies other than these seven.

Mr. Chairman, I refer you and the Members of the Committee to the Report of the Special Master for TARP Executive Compensation: 2009 Executive Compensation Determinations for the TARP Exceptional Assistance Recipients, dated October 22, 2009, a copy of which is included with my prepared testimony. This Report includes my compensation determinations concerning senior executives at each of the seven companies referenced above, and provides a comprehensive explanation and analysis of the reasoning which underlies such determinations. I welcome any inquiries you may have concerning my Report.

In your letter of October 15, 2009, inviting me to testify, you raised three questions for me to focus on during my appearance here today. I treat these questions in the order you presented them in your letter.

I. What standards and considerations are you using to evaluate employee compensation at the seven companies that submitted such plans for review?

I was guided by the rules and principles in the statute and the Treasury regulations in evaluating employee compensation at the seven companies. For example, the Treasury regulations expressly make clear that I must consider competitive market forces in determining compensation levels that will permit the seven companies to remain in business, to thrive financially, and to eventually repay the taxpayers for TARP financial assistance. These companies must be able to attract sufficient talent to prosper. At the same time, however, the law requires me to take into account whether the terms and conditions of compensation are performance-based and tie compensation to the companies' prospective performance and financial success. In addition, the regulations make clear that my compensation determinations should be made in such a way that considers whether senior executives are provided incentives to avoid taking excessive risks to receive greater amounts of compensation. The law also anticipates that a portion of compensation be tied to the repayment of TARP financial assistance, and requires companies to "claw back" incentive compensation that is based upon inaccurate financial statements or performance metrics.

In sum, the standards and considerations I used in evaluating employee compensation at the seven companies can be found in the statute and the accompanying Treasury regulations: in these laws, Congress and the Treasury provided me the guidance needed to make my final determinations. Based on this guidance, I determined that a new compensation regimen should be implemented at these seven companies: guaranteed compensation is to be replaced by performance-based compensation designed to tie individual executives' financial opportunities to the long term overall financial success of each Company. Short-term profits must give way to longer-term financial stability and success.

II. What specific proposals have been received from the seven companies and what specific actions have you taken with respect to those proposals?

Mr. Chairman, I refer you and the Members of the Committee to my Report (attached) which details the individual submissions made by each of the seven companies, and also describes in comprehensive fashion my response to each of these submissions. The general conclusions I reached after careful evaluation and analysis of the submissions were the same for six of the seven companies--I concluded, pursuant to the statute and the Treasury regulations, that each submission would result in payments contrary to the "Public Interest Standard," and should, therefore, be rejected. The "Public Interest Standard" is the term I used in my Report to describe the regulatory standards that I am required to apply in making determinations. Instead, as my Report spells out, I made important revisions to the submissions as a precondition to approving compensation structures and payments for each individual covered executive at these six TARP recipients. (Chrysler Financial has unique circumstances, and I determined that its proposal was appropriate in light of them.

I can summarize the flaws in the six individual company submissions as follows:

1. The companies requested excessive guaranteed cash – salaries and bonuses – for company executives;
2. The companies requested that stock issued to these executives be either immediately redeemable or redeemable without a sufficient waiting period;
3. Many of the companies did not sufficiently tie compensation to performance-based benchmarks and metrics;
4. Many of the companies did not sufficiently limit or restrict financial "perks," such as private airplane transportation, country club dues, golf outings, etc., and in some cases provided excessive levels of severance and executive retirement benefits;
5. The companies did not make sufficient effort to fold guaranteed compensation contracts – entered into prior to the enactment of the current compensation regulations – into 2009 performance-based compensation.

In modifying these six submissions in order to satisfy the "Public Interest Standard," I made important changes designed to tie compensation to prospective company performance:

1. I greatly reduced the amount of 2009 guaranteed cash compensation made available to senior executives. On the whole, cash (which, in the past, included cash base salaries and cash bonuses) was reduced by approximately 90%. Overall total compensation was reduced by approximately 50%.

2. In place of cash, I substituted "stock salary" which, in accordance with Treasury regulations, vests immediately upon issuance but may only be redeemed in three equal, annual installments beginning in 2011, with each installment redeemable one year early if TARP obligations are repaid. The objectives are clear – to tie individual compensation to longer-term performance metrics, and to encourage senior executives to remain at the company for a period of years to maximize their personal benefit from the overall profitability of the company itself. The value of "stock salary" will depend on the companies' financial success in coming years. At the same time, I also permitted incentive payments of "long-term restricted stock." This long-term incentive stock vests only if executives remain employed for three years after grant, and it can be cashed in only in 25% increments for each 25% of TARP obligations repaid by their employer. Again, the goal is to tie individual compensation to the overall financial success of the company.

3. By implementing the ideas of "stock salary" and "long-term restricted stock," only redeemable after multiple years of company performance, I tied individual compensation to long-term company success.

4. I reined in "perks" by expressly requiring that any such perks beyond $25,000 per individual must first receive the approval of the Office of the Special Master. No longer will senior executives be entitled to excessive use of private planes and other compensation-related financial benefits.
I also prohibited additional company contributions to executive retirement programs..

5. I succeeded in almost all cases in getting the companies to agree to restructure guaranteed contracts and other forms of guaranteed compensation into prospective, performance-based compensation packages. These companies agreed, in almost all cases, to transfer guaranteed forms of compensation – entered into with company officials before the enactment of current legal requirements – into "stock salary."
I am very reluctant to even attempt to invalidate the sanctity of contracts entered into well before enactment of the current law; however, I did work closely with the companies in an attempt, cooperatively, to restructure these "grandfathered" financial guarantees by making them part of my 2009 final compensation determinations.

Mr. Chairman, I refer you and the Members of the Committee, to my Report which spells out in further detail how we modify company submissions to comply with the "Public Interest Standard."

III. What recommendations do you have for oversight of TARP recipient employee compensation schemes in the future?

The Treasury regulations speak quite clearly to this question.

First, the Standards require that the Office of the Special Master now turn its attention to reviewing compensation structures for the remaining executive officers, and 75 next most highly compensated employees, in each of the seven companies. The regulations do not require the Special Master to make individual compensation determinations for these individuals; instead, the regulations require that the Special Master approve the compensation structure for these individuals. The law affords me 60 days to do this from the time that I deem the company submissions with respect to these individuals "substantially complete." I have received all of these pertinent submissions from each of the seven companies but have not yet concluded that they are "substantially complete," thereby triggering the 60-day limitation.

Second, the Office of the Special Master must soon turn its attention to the process for determining the 2010 compensation for the senior executives at each of the seven TARP exceptional assistance companies. I believe we have made important progress in this regard as a result of completed efforts at 2009 compensation. Nevertheless, there will undoubtedly be new compensation issues which will confront us in 2010. (For example, we anticipate dealing once again with claims of "grandfathered" retention contracts and other guaranteed forms of compensation which will have to be considered by the Special Master as part of 2010 submissions for the senior executives; in addition, it is anticipated that the list of senior executives for each Company will undergo some modification, requiring a new evaluation of certain individual compensation packages submitted by each company.)

Finally, I do not recommend that my responsibilities related to compensation determinations for senior executives, as currently defined by Treasury regulations, be expanded beyond the current seven companies receiving exceptional TARP financial assistance. I believe Congress and the Treasury have already spoken with respect to the compensation restrictions that apply beyond this group of firms. My limited mandatory jurisdiction involving just these seven companies is justified by the fact that the American taxpayers have a vested interest as particularly significant stakeholders in these seven companies. But, the federal government should not enter the business of micromanaging compensation practices beyond these seven companies by expanding my jurisdiction or broadening my discretionary authority. Hopefully, the individual final compensation determinations I make may yet be used, in whole or in part, by other companies in modifying their individual compensation practices. I believe the final compensation determinations I make and discuss in my Report are a useful model to guide others in the private marketplace. But that is where my authority should end. I do not believe it necessary or wise to broaden my jurisdiction or make my legal authority more pervasive.

Mr. Chairman, this concludes my formal written statement, and I welcome any questions from you and the Members of this distinguished Committee.

Thank you.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Weekly Review and Outlook 26-30/10

2009.10.23. pic1

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDJPY 69.41 67.29 +212 +3.05%
CHFJPY 91.28 89.25 +203 +2.22%
EURCAD 1.5803 1.5459 +344 +2.18%
AUDCAD 0.9711 0.9505 +206 +2.12%
EURJPY 138.21 135.47 +274 +1.98%
Dollar
EURUSD 1.5008 1.4904 +104 +0.69%
USDJPY 92.08 90.89 +119 +1.29%
GBPUSD 1.6309 1.6354 -45 -0.28%
USDCHF 1.0086 1.0181 -95 -0.94%
USDCAD 1.0531 1.0373 +158 +1.50%
Euro
EURUSD 1.5008 1.4904 +104 +0.69%
EURGBP 0.9201 0.9111 +90 +0.98%
EURCHF 1.5138 1.5175 -37 -0.24%
EURJPY 138.21 135.47 +274 +1.98%
EURCAD 1.5803 1.5459 +344 +2.18%
Yen
USDJPY 92.08 90.89 +119 +1.29%
EURJPY 138.21 135.47 +274 +1.98%
GBPJPY 150.17 148.64 +153 +1.02%
AUDJPY 84.92 83.27 +165 +1.94%
NZDJPY 69.41 67.29 +212 +3.05%
Sterling
GBPUSD 1.6309 1.6354 -45 -0.28%
EURGBP 0.9201 0.9111 +90 +0.98%
GBPCHF 1.6449 1.6649 -200 -1.22%
GBPJPY 150.17 148.64 +153 +1.02%
GBPCAD 1.7172 1.6963 +209 +1.22%

Sterling dominated the headline last week and had a roller-coaster ride as expectation on BoE quantitative easing program flip-flopped. While dollar dipped through 1.5 level against Euro, it was mixed in general and managed to close higher against Japanese yen and Canadian dollar. The Japanese yen was the worst performer last week and weakened broadly. Canadian dollar, on the other hand, failed to ride on persistent strength in crude oil and weakened on BoC's comments on intervention.

Fed Beige Book released last week showed that stabilization or modest improvements are seem in housing and manufacturing sectors. However, commercial real estate markets remained weak. There is also little or no price pressures for the moment. Credit quality is having further erosion. Housing data from US was weak with housing starts and rose a mere 3k to 590k in September while building permits dropped 7k to 573k annualized rate. House price index dropped -0.3% mom in August. Though, existing home sales rose strongly from 5.09m to 5.57m in September. PPI unexpectedly dropped -0.6% mom, -4.8% yoy while core PPI also dropped -0.1% mom with yoy rate slowed to 1.8%. Jobless claims unexpectedly rose to 531k.

Euro extended recent rally against dollar and managed to close above 1.5 psychological level last week. Solid data from Eurozone gave some help to the strength of the common currency. Strong rebound in EUR/GBP also helped Euro. Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI improved to 50.7 and 52.3 in October respectively. Germany Ifo business climate also rose to 91.9 in October. Nevertheless, Euro has lost some momentum after breaching 1.5. While there is no indication of reversal, we'd expect a short top term to be around the corner.

Sterling had a roaster coaster ride last week, rallied on speculation that BoE will pause the quantitative easing program in November but was sold off sharply after much worse than expected Q3 GDP report. The less dovish than expected BoE October minutes, which showed unanimous vote to keep rates and the GBP 175b asset purchase campaign unchanged, lifted sterling to an intraweek high of 1.6692 against dollar and 0.8996 against euro. However, sterling's rally halted after disappointing retail sales report which showed 0% growth mom in September. Pound then reversed and fell sharply on Friday after shocking poor Q3 GDP report, which unexpectedly contracted for the sixth consecutive quarters by -0.4% qoq, the longest losing streak since record began in 1950s. Year-over-year rate also disappointed by contracting at -5.2%. The poor GDP report revived speculations that BoE might be forced to extend the asset purchase program in November. Technically, GBP/USD and GBP/JPY both held below key near term resistance level and thus retained the bearish outlook in spite of strong rebound last week. EUR/GBP also held above key support level will retain the bullish outlook. After all, the pound would likely remain pressured leading to November's BoE meeting.

The Japanese yen was broadly lower this week on carry trades as investors are already looking at prospect of rate hikes from some centrals banks going forward. NZD/JPY was the biggest winner last week after RBNZ Governor Bollard said that the strength of NZD won't be impediment to raising interest rates. AUD/JPY also extended recent strength to close higher at 87.87 while EUR/JPY rose sharply to 138.16. USD/JPY also rode on broad based weakens in yen and climbed to 92.04. While yen crosses will likely extend recent rise, the risk of reversal is increasing in case of much overdue correction in global equities.

Canadian dollar was another weaker currency last week on central bank comments. The Loonie indeed closed lower broadly even though oil priced managed to made another high at 82 last week. BoC Governor Carney expressed his concern on the strength of the currency on recovery as well as inflation and stressed that intervention is "always an option". BoC left rates unchanged at 0.25% last week and reiterated the conditional commitment to keep rates low until Q2 of 2010. The accompanying statement, as well as the Monetary Policy Report released on Thursday, noted the threat of rising Canadian dollar to recovery in the economy. On thing to note is that USD/CAD is so far still staying below 1.0590 resistance and another fall could still be seen before it bottoms out.

Looking at the charts, US stocks managed to edge higher last week but failed to sustain gain and closed the week lower. Upside momentum is clearly diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in daily MACD in S&P 500. At this point, there is no indication of reversal yet with 1040.92 support intact. But we'd continue to expect further loss of moment in case of another rise and upside would likely be limited by 50% retracement of 1580 to 667 at 1123 and finally bring long awaited correction.

Crude oil turned sideway after edging higher to 82. There is no sign of topping at this moment yet. But as we'd expect rebound from 33.2 to conclude inside fibonacci zone of 76.77 and 90.4, crude oil will likely lose momentum on next rise.

Gold was bounded in sideway trading last week but after all, there is no sign of reversal yet. Current rally could still extend further to 1133 projection target next. As gold has likely resumed the long term up trend, current rise is in favor to continue further to next projection target of 1258 after taking out 1133.

Downside momentum in the greenback was seen diminishing last week. While EUR/USD closed above 1.5 level, the move was note accompanied by rally in the strong AUD/USD, not even USD/CAD. GBP/USD's failure below 1.6740 suggests that more downside is in favor this week. The developments argue that greenback is possibly close to a bottom and this is inline with the view that stocks and crude oil should further lose momentum on next rise and bring long awaited correction. The biggest uncertainty will lie in gold which may extend recent rally after completing the current sideway consolidation.

Dollar index dropped to new 2009 low of 74.94 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week with 4 hours MACD staying above signal line. In case of another fall, we're expecting further loss of momentum and dollar index should draw support from the lower trend line (now at 74.82) and rebound strongly. A break of 75.76 will indicate that a short term bottom is formed and strong rally should be seen to upper trend line resistance at 76.51 first. However, strong break of the lower trend line will target 74.31 support next.

In the bigger picture, dollar index's five wave decline from 89.62 should be near to complete and a rebound is due. Strong support should be seen at around 74.31 support level and bring near term reversal. Though, a break of 77.47 resistance is needed to confirm that a short term bottom is formed and bring rebound to 78.33/81.47 resistance zone. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Currency Heat Map Weekly View


USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
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The Week Ahead

Main focus of the week will be on Advance Q3 GDP report from US. Expectation was rather high with consensus at 3.1% qoq growth which leaves more room for downside surprise. Dollar would likely be supported in case the data missed expectation as stocks would probably use that an excuse to trigger the long awaited correction. Another main focus will be on RBNZ rate decision. While markets are all expecting the bank to keep rates unchanged, focus will be on hints of when RBNZ would start to remove policy accommodation. The accompany statement would possibly trigger some volatility in yen crosses on carry trades. Australian CPI will also be closely watched and any upside surprise there will trigger speculations that RBA would speed up the rate hike cycle for meeting the inflation target.

Other important data to watch include:

  • Monday: Australia PPI; German Gfk consumer confidence
  • Tuesday: Eurozone M3 money supply; US S&P Case-Shiller price index, Conference Board consumer confidence
  • Wednesday: Japan retail sales; Australia CPI; Germany CPI; US durable goods, new home sales, RBNZ rate decision
  • Thursday: Japan industrial production; Germany unemployment; Eurozone confidence; US advance Q3 GDP
  • Friday: BoJ meeting, Japan CPI, Manufacturing PMI; UK Gfk consumer confidence; Germany retail sales, Eurozone CPI; Swiss KOF; US personal income and spending, Chicago PMI

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP's pull back from 0.9410 extended further to as low as 0.8996 last week but after all it was held above mentioned 0.8983 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.8722 to 0.9410 at 0.8985) as expected. Friday's strong rebound and break of 0.9190 minor resistance indicates that such pull back is completed. Initial bias is on the upside this week for a retest of 0.9410 resistance first. Break will confirm that whole rally from 0.8399 has resumed and should target 0.9799 high next. On the downside, however, a break of 0.8996 will now indicate that rise from 0.8454 has completed and bring deeper fall towards 0.8704/8837 support zone.

In the bigger picture, medium term correction from 0.9799 has completed with three waves down to 0.8399 already and rise from there is tentatively treated as resumption of long term up trend. Break of 0.9799 bring rally to next medium term target at 61.8% projection of 0.6535 to 0.9799 from 0.8399 at 1.0416. We'll hold on to this bullish view as long as 0.8704 support holds.

In the long term picture, long term up trend in EUR/GBP might be resuming as correction from 0.9799 has completed at 0.8399. Decisive break of 0.9799 high will confirm this bullish view and target 261.8% projection of 0.5680 to 0.7258 from 0.6535 at 1.0666.

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