Friday, October 2, 2009

FuturesPulse Market Recap

***BOND MARKET RECAP - 10/1/2009
December Bonds finished up 1-090 at 122-210, 0-120 off the high and 1-070 up from the low.

December 10 Yr Treasury Notes closed up 0-300 at 119-085. This was 0-290 up from the low and 0-050 off the high.

Technical Outlook
BONDS (DEC) 10/02/2009: Rising stochastics at overbought levels warrant some caution for bulls. A positive signal for trend short-term was given on a close over the 9-bar moving average. The market's close above the 2nd swing resistance number is a bullish indication. The near-term upside target is at 124-090. The 9-day RSI over 70 indicates the market is approaching overbought levels. The next area of resistance is around 123-210 and 124-090, while 1st support hits today at 121-250 and below there at 120-160.

10 YR TREASURY NOTES (DEC) 10/02/2009: Momentum studies are trending higher but have entered overbought levels. A positive signal for trend short-term was given on a close over the 9-bar moving average. The market's close above the 2nd swing resistance number is a bullish indication. The near-term upside target is at 120-085. The market is approaching overbought levels with an RSI over 70. The next area of resistance is around 119-290 and 120-085, while 1st support hits today at 118-230 and below there at 117-280.

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***STOCK INDICES RECAP - 10/1/2009
December S&P closed down 25.5 at 1027.4. This was 2.9 up from the low and 21.3 off the high. December S&P E-Mini finished down 25.5 at 1027.5, 28.5 off the high and 3 up from the low.

December Dow finished down 183 at 9470, 160 off the high and 28 up from the low.

Technical Outlook
S&P 500 (DEC) 10/02/2009: Momentum studies trending lower at mid-range should accelerate a move lower if support levels are taken out. The close below the 18-day moving average is an indication the intermediate-term trend has turned down. The close below the 2nd swing support number puts the market on the defensive. The next downside target is 1002.55. The next area of resistance is around 1043.00 and 1064.95, while 1st support hits today at 1011.80 and below there at 1002.55.

S&P E-MINI (DEC) 10/02/2009: Momentum studies trending lower at mid-range could
accelerate a price break if support levels are broken. The close below the 18-day moving average is an indication the intermediate-term trend has turned down. There could be some early pressure today given the market's negative setup with the close below the 2nd swing support. The next downside target is 1002.38. The next area of resistance is around 1043.25 and 1065.37, while 1st support hits today at 1011.75 and below there at 1002.38.

NASDAQ (DEC) 10/02/2009: Momentum studies trending lower at mid-range should
accelerate a move lower if support levels are taken out. The close under the 18-day moving average indicates the intermediate-term trend could be turning down. The defensive setup, with the close under the 2nd swing support, could cause some early weakness. The next downside target is 1620.25. The next area of resistance is around 1701.50 and 1744.25, while 1st support hits today at 1639.50 and below there at 1620.25.

DOW (DEC) 10/02/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The close under the 18-day moving average indicates the intermediate-term trend could be turning down. It is a slightly negative indicator that the close was lower than the pivot swing number. The next downside objective is now at 9554. The next area of resistance is around 9672 and 9717, while 1st support hits today at 9590 and below there at 9554.


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***CURRENCY MARKET RECAP - 10/1/2009
December US Dollar closed up 0.52 at 77.380. This was 0.580 up from the low and 0.115 off the high.

December Euro closed down 1.02 at 145.43. This was 0.28 up from the low and 1.24 off the high.

December Japanese Yen finished down 0.09 at 111.53, 0.36 off the high and 0.58 up from the low.

December Swiss finished down 0.47 at 96.13, 0.65 off the high and 0.42 up from the low.

December Canadian Dollar finished down 1.29 at 92.35, 1.36 off the high and 0.16 up from the low.

December British Pound closed down 0.54 at 159.48. This was 0.28 up from the low and 0.76 off the high.

Technical Outlook
JAPANESE YEN (DEC) 10/02/2009: Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to reinforce a move lower especially if support levels are taken out. A positive signal for trend short-term was given on a close over the 9-bar moving average. With the close higher than the pivot swing number, the market is in a slightly bullish posture. The next downside objective is 110.53. The next area of resistance is around 111.99 and 112.41, while 1st support hits today at 111.05 and below there at 110.53.

EURO (DEC) 10/02/2009: Momentum studies trending lower at mid-range could accelerate a price break if support levels are broken. The close under the 18-day moving average indicates the intermediate-term trend could be turning down. The close below the 1st swing support could weigh on the market. The next downside objective is now at 144.12. The next area of resistance is around 146.12 and 147.15, while 1st support hits today at 144.60 and below there at 144.12.


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***PRECIOUS METALS RECAP - 10/1/2009
December Gold closed down 8.6 at 1000.7. This was 1.9 up from the low and 8.1 off the high.

December Silver finished down 0.218 at 16.44, 0.305 off the high and 0.035 up from the low.

Technical Outlook
COMEX SILVER (DEC) 10/02/2009: Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to reinforce a move lower especially if support levels are taken out. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day moving average. The daily closing price reversal down is a negative indicator for prices. The market setup is somewhat negative with the close under the 1st swing support. The next downside target is now at 1602.4. The next area of resistance is around 1659.7 and 1691.3, while 1st support hits today at 1615.3 and below there at
1602.4.

COMEX GOLD (DEC) 10/02/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The close under the 18-day moving average indicates the intermediate-term trend could be turning down. The market could take on a defensive posture with the daily closing price reversal down. The market's close below the 1st swing support number suggests a moderately negative setup for today. The next downside objective is now at 989.9. The next area of resistance is around 1006.0 and 1014.8, while 1st support hits today at 993.6 and below there at 989.9.


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***ENERGY MARKET RECAP - 10/1/2009
November Crude Oil closed down 0.27 at 70.34. This was 1.21 up from the low and 1.05 off the high.

November Heating Oil closed down 1.50 at 181.74. This was 2.36 up from the low and 3.22 off the high.

November RBOB Gasoline finished down 0.06 at 175.10, 3.14 off the high and 2.60 up from the low.

November Natural Gas finished down 0.37 at 4.47, 0.35 off the high and 0.04 up from the low.



Technical Outlook
CRUDE OIL (NOV) 10/02/2009: The market back below the 60-day moving average suggests the longer-term trend could be turning down. Momentum studies are trending higher from mid-range, which should support a move higher if resistance levels are penetrated. The close above the 9-day moving average is a positive short-term indicator for trend. The daily closing price reversal down puts the market on the defensive. The close over the pivot swing is a somewhat positive setup. The next upside target is 72.56. The next area of resistance is around 71.48 and 72.56, while 1st support hits today at 69.22 and below there at 68.05.

RBOB GAS (NOV) 10/02/2009: Stochastics are at mid-range but trending higher, which should reinforce a move higher if resistance levels are taken out. A positive signal for trend short-term was given on a close over the 9-bar moving average. The close over the pivot swing is a somewhat positive setup. The next upside objective is 180.97. The next area of resistance is round 177.97 and 180.97, while 1st support hits today at 172.23 and below there at 169.50.

HEATING OIL (NOV) 10/02/2009: Stochastics are at mid-range but trending higher, which should reinforce a move higher if resistance levels are taken out. The close above the 9-day moving average is a positive short-term indicator for trend. The market could take on a defensive posture with the daily closing price reversal down. The close over the pivot swing is a somewhat positive setup. The near-term upside objective is at 187.53. The next area of resistance is around 184.53 and 187.53, while 1st support hits today at 178.95 and below there at 176.38.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

FuturesPulse Market Recap

***BOND MARKET RECAP - 9/29/2009
December Bonds finished up 0-060 at 121-200, 0-070 off the high and 0-240 up from the low.

December 10 Yr Treasury Notes closed up 0-035 at 118-095. This was 0-160 up from the low and 0-020 off the high.

Technical Outlook
BONDS (DEC) 09/30/2009: Studies are showing positive momentum but are now in overbought territory, so some caution is warranted. The market's close above the 9-day moving average suggests the short-term trend remains positive. With the close higher than the pivot swing number, the market is in a slightly bullish posture. The next upside objective is 122-130. The next area of resistance is around 122-010 and 122-130, while 1st support hits today at 121-030 and below there at 120-160.

10 YR TREASURY NOTES (DEC) 09/30/2009: A positive indicator was given with the upside crossover of the 9 and 18 bar moving average. Rising stochastics at overbought levels warrant some caution for bulls. A positive signal for trend short-term was given on a close over the 9-bar moving average. With the close higher than the pivot swing number, the market is in a slightly bullish posture. The next upside objective is 118-235. The next area of resistance is around 118-180 and 118-235, while 1st support hits today at 118-005 and below there at
117-200.

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***STOCK INDICES RECAP - 9/29/2009
December S&P closed down 4.2 at 1054.8. This was 1.4 up from the low and 10.7 off the high. December S&P E-Mini finished down 4.25 at 1054.75, 11 off the high and 1.5 up from the low.

December Dow finished down 53 at 9675, 95 off the high and 5 up from the low.

Technical Outlook
S&P 500 (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day moving average. The daily closing price reversal down is a negative indicator for prices. The close over the pivot swing is a somewhat positive setup. The next downside target is now at 1045.13. The next area of resistance is around 1061.04 and 1069.32, while 1st support hits today at 1048.95 and below there at 1045.13.

S&P E-MINI (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The close below the 9-day moving average is a negative short-term indicator for trend. The daily closing price reversal down is a negative indicator for prices. The market has a slightly positive tilt with the close over the swing pivot. The next downside objective is now at 1044.25. The next area of resistance is around 1060.25 and 1069.25, while 1st support hits today at 1047.75 and below there at 1044.25.

NASDAQ (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The market's close below the 9-day moving average is an indication the short-term trend remains negative. The market tilt is slightly negative with the close under the pivot. The next downside target is 1692.00. The next area of resistance is around 1728.00 and 1742.00, while 1st support hits today at 1703.00 and below there at 1692.00.

DOW (DEC) 09/30/2009: Momentum studies are trending lower from high levels which should accelerate a move lower on a break below the 1st swing support. The market's short-term trend is positive on the close above the 9-day moving average. It is a mildly bullish indicator that the market closed over the pivot swing number. The next downside objective is 9693. The next area of resistance is around 9766 and 9782, while 1st support hits today at 9722 and below there at 9693.


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***CURRENCY MARKET RECAP - 9/29/2009
December US Dollar closed up 0.085 at 77.355. This was 0.330 up from the low and 0.380 off the high.

December Euro closed down 0.17 at 145.73. This was 0.52 up from the low and 0.73 off the high.

December Japanese Yen finished down 0.55 at 110.91, 0.72 off the high and 0.21 up from the low.

December Swiss finished down 0.24 at 96.5, 0.52 off the high and 0.42 up from the low.

December Canadian Dollar finished up 0.19 at 92.19, 0.47 off the high and 0.65 up from the low.

December British Pound closed up 0.83 at 159.51. This was 1.28 up from the low and 0.38 off the high.

Technical Outlook
JAPANESE YEN (DEC) 09/30/2009: A crossover down in the daily stochastics is a bearish signal. Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to reinforce a move lower especially if support levels are taken out. The market's close above the 9-day moving average suggests the short-term trend remains positive. The market's close below the pivot swing number is a mildly negative setup. The next downside target is 110.11. The next area of resistance is around 111.37 and 111.96, while 1st support hits today at 110.45 and below there at 110.11.

EURO (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day moving average. It is a slightly negative indicator that the close was lower than the pivot swing number. The next downside target is now at 144.53. The next area of resistance is around 146.34 and 147.02, while 1st support hits today at 145.10 and below there at 144.53.


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***PRECIOUS METALS RECAP - 9/29/2009
December Gold closed up 0.3 at 994.4. This was 8.3 up from the low and 2.8 off the high.

December Silver finished down 0.017 at 16.178, 0.072 off the high and 0.158 up from the low.

Technical Outlook
COMEX SILVER (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will tend to reinforce lower price action. The market's close below the 9-day moving average is an indication the short-term trend remains negative. The market has a slightly positive tilt with the close over the swing pivot. The next downside objective is 1586.3. The next area of resistance is around 1633.5 and 1648.2, while 1st support hits today at 1602.5 and below there at 1586.3.

COMEX GOLD (DEC) 09/30/2009: Declining momentum studies in the neutral zone will
tend to reinforce lower price action. The market's close below the 9-day moving average is an indication the short-term trend remains negative. The market has a slightly positive tilt with the close over the swing pivot. The next downside objective is now at 981.5. The next area of resistance is around 999.0 and 1003.6, while 1st support hits today at 988.0 and below there at 981.5.


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***ENERGY MARKET RECAP - 9/29/2009
November Crude Oil closed down 0.16 at 66.68. This was 0.86 up from the low and 0.65 off the high.

November Heating Oil closed up 0.39 at 172.36. This was 1.98 up from the low and 1.06 off the high.

November RBOB Gasoline finished down 1.06 at 164.00, 2.12 off the high and 1.46 up from the low.

November Natural Gas finished up 0.03 at 4.86, 0.12 off the high and 0.26 up from the low.


Technical Outlook
CRUDE OIL (NOV) 09/30/2009: Momentum studies are still bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. A negative signal for trend short-term was given on a close under the 9-bar moving average. The market has a slightly positive tilt with the close over the swing pivot. The next downside objective is now at 65.12. The next area of resistance is around 67.43 and 68.13, while 1st support hits today at 65.93 and below there at 65.12.

RBOB GAS (NOV) 09/30/2009: Momentum studies are still bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day moving average. It is a slightly negative indicator that the close was lower than the pivot swing number. The next downside objective is 160.59. The next area of resistance is around 165.79 and 167.74, while 1st support hits today at 162.21 and below there at 160.59.

HEATING OIL (NOV) 09/30/2009: A negative indicator was given with the downside crossover of the 9 and 18 bar moving average. Momentum studies are declining, but have fallen to oversold levels. A negative signal for trend short-term was given on a close under the 9-bar moving average. The close over the pivot swing is a somewhat positive setup. The next downside target is 169.09. The next area of resistance is around 173.88 and 175.17, while 1st support hits today at 170.84 and below there at 169.09.